中德电子信息产品进出口贸易预测分析

Im- & Export's Analysis and Forecast of IT Products between China and Germany

该文概述了中德两国电子信息产品贸易的现状,其中又着重从出口企业产品结构和地区结构等方面指出中国在电子产品贸易中的特点,以实际数据为参照系分析了两国电子信息产品双边贸易的产品结构以及两国合作发展的前景和可能性,在历史数据的基础上根据散点分布趋势提出了进出口贸易趋势分析的模型,并以实际趋势线对此模型数据进行验证,最后以此模型为依据对中德的双边进出口贸易作了预测。

This paper describes the situation of IT products trade in China and German, points out thereinto the characteristics of IT products trade in China, analyzes the traded IT product structure and the cooperation's prospect and possibility of IT industry between both countries with actual data as reference. On the basis of the trade data and according to the trend of point's distritution on the diagram, the model for the import & export trade trend is proposed and also validated, in the end the trade value is forecasted.