摘要
根据龙滩水电站所在流域的实际情况,建立多维自回归随机模型,由龙滩坝址以上流域内4个站区的日流量随机模拟入库设计洪水。通过对所建模型和模拟生成的洪水系列进行检验,表明利用多维自回归随机模型模拟龙滩水电站入库洪水是可行的。
In accordance with the actual situation of the watershed where the Longtan Hydropower Project is located, a multi-dimensional autoregression model was established to simulate stochastically the design inflow of the reservoin based on the daily flows measured at four hydrometric stations on the upstream of the Longtan Dam site. A verification on the established model and the flood series generated by simulation showed that it is feasible to simulate the inflow flood of the Longtan Project through multi-dimensional autoregression stochastic model
出处
《水力发电》
北大核心
2004年第6期65-67,共3页
Water Power
关键词
随机模拟
入库洪水
多维自回归模型
检验
龙滩水电站
stochastic simulation
inflow flood
multi-dimensional autoregression model
verification
Longtan Hydropower Station