季节周期预测法在电力系统季负荷预测中的应用

Application of seasonal period forecasting method in seasonal load forecasting of power system

电力系统日负荷、月负荷和季度负荷变化具有明显的周期性,根据日、月、季负荷变化特点,将季节周期预测法应用于电力系统季负荷预测中。计算结果表明,用该预测方法预测电力系统季负荷具有较高的预测精度。

Day, month, season load changes of power system have obvious periodicity, seasonal period forecasting method was used in seasonal load forecasting of power system according to the change characteristics of day month season loads. It sampling calculation shows that this forecasting method has high forecasting precision in the seasonal load forecasting of power system.