关于全面提高宏观经济效益及其综合评价指标体系的初步研究

ON IMPROVING OVERALL MACRO ECONOMIC RESULTS AND ITS COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION SYSTEM

宏观经济效益反映的是全社会的总投入和总产出的关系,而宏观经济效益综合评价则是用以反映宏观经济效益的一套基本理论、模式和思维方式。为了澄清人们对于宏观经济效益及其评价的一些模糊认识,建立一套科学的、符合我国国情的、全面系统的反映我国宏观经济效益的基本概况和操作性强的指标体系和评价方法,本文作者通过对近百个效益变量的组合、测算,最后确立了8个统计数据可采集的宏观评价指标模块,即:全社会劳动力产出率,社会总收入产出率,全社会消耗产出率,社会能源产出率,全社会资金产出率,社会投资产出率,万元产出占用的社会库存,社会运输产出率,并严格按照社会投入产出的定义,根据评价模型确定的最优参照系,应用综合指数加权评价与综合评分加权评价法反映全社会的宏观经济效益情况,并计算出相应的宏观经济效益综合评价值。研究结果表明,综合评价得分最高的为1991年,其次为1988年,最低的为1981和1986年。宏观经济效益综合评价结果还反映这样一个基本事实,即在改革开放以来,我国宏观经济效益呈现出明显的阶段性和波动性。

Macro economic results reflect the relationship between social investment and social output. And the overall evaluation of macro economic results is a set of fundamental theories, models and modes of thinking. In order to clear up some blurred understanding and to build up a set of scientific and systematic evaluation system and methods, we recently studied nearly one (?)un. red statistics related to economic efficiency and finally established eight statistics as the basic ones in the evaluation. These eightstatistics respectively reflect the production rate of all social labor forces, production rate of all social income, production rate of all social consuming, production rate of social energy, production rate of all social capital, production rate of social investment, the taking of social stocks of per ten thousand yuan output and production rate of social transportation. By using this system we found that the year of 1991 had the highest score of the macro economic results in the evaluation. 1988 listed the second. And 1981 and 1986 listed the least. The evaluation result also tells such a fact that China's macro economic results fluctuated periodically since the practice of Reform and Opening Up.