投资、消费与中国经济的内生增长:古典角度的实证分析

Investment, Consumption and the Endogenous Growth of China's Economy: a Classicist Case Study

本文试图运用古典的内生经济发展思想对中国改革开放以来的经济增长做一个简单考察。文章考察了投资、消费与经济内生演进机制在中国的运行状况,分析了这一机制的总体特征,并依时序发展考察了其演进与变化的过程。我们发现,中国经济增长明显地表现为两个阶段。90年代中期后,经济演进机制的运行变化的紊乱,供给创造需求的能力不足。解决好上述问题,成为中国经济可持续增长的重要保证。

In this paper, an attempt is made,by the thought of chassical endogenous economic growth,to make a preliminary study of China's economic growth since her reform and opening to the world,probing into her state of investment, consumption and the operation, in China, of the mechanism of economic endogenous evolution, analyzing the overall characteristics of the said setup, and conducting a survey of the process of its evolution according to chronology. We have found that there have been obviously two stages in China's economic growth, that since the mid 90s, the operation of the evolutionary economic mechanism has become disordered and the capability of supply that creates demand has not been great enough. To tackle satisfactorily the problems mentioned above has an important guarantee become for China's sustainable economic growth.