基于专家系统的煤与瓦斯突出区域预测研究

Study on the Region Prediction of Coal&gas Outburst Based on Expert System

根据专家系统与煤与瓦斯突出的特点,分析了专家系统在煤与瓦斯突出区域预测中的适用性,结合平顶山十二矿实际情况,确定了研究区的突出临界值,编制了煤与瓦斯突出区域预测专家系统,并对研究区进行了合理的瓦斯地质区划。

Because the faultiness of the theory of forecasting coal-gas-outburst and the complicated relation of factors,it is hard for the classical mathematics to establish accurate model.The paper compared Expert System with coal-and-gas outburst in characteristic and analysed the applicability of Expert System in the region prediction of coal-and-gas outburst,According to the actual condition in the 12th Coal Mine of Pingdingshan mining area,the authors marked off the critical values of outburst's indexes and set up the Expert-system of outburst's region prediction.By the program,the authors classified the probable outburst areas in the mine.The resarch made a profitable attempt to apply Expert System in coal-and-gas outburst.