经济增长条件下环境库兹涅兹曲线方案的改进

Improvement of Environmental Kuznets Curve on Condition of Economic Growth

本文利用江苏省1994-2002年经济增长与水环境数据,依据环境库兹涅茨曲线理论,建立沿江流域经济增长与水环境污染水平计量模型,分析沿江的整个水环境的综合指标。研究表明:江苏省的水环境污染库兹涅兹曲线形状是U形加倒U形的波浪式,不同于发达国家的倒U形环境库兹涅兹曲线特征,也不同于我国工业化过程中接近水平的弱库兹涅兹曲线的特征。

According to Environmental Kuznets theory, a model of economic growth and environmental degradation is established on basis of time serials data from 1994 to 2002 so as to analyze the comprehensive indices of the whole water environment along the Yangtze River. Researches show: the KEC of Jiangsu is 'U shape plus inverse U shape', different not only from the inverse U shape in developed countries, but the weak, almost level Kuznets Curve in the process of China's industrialization as well.