理想点逼近技术在大型水电工程项目风险管理决策中的应用

Application of TOPSIS to the risk management decisionof large-scale hydropower project

以大型水电工程导流标准优选作为风险分析的对象,通过对影响导流标准的工程投资、建设工期、风险损失以及导流风险各个要素进行定量多目标分析,建立了导流标准多目标理想点逼近技术风险决策模型,最后通过实例验证了该方法的可行性,从而为大型水电工程项目风险管理决策方法进行了有益的探索.

The article has analyzed the risk of the optimization of diversion standard in the large-scale hydropower project and have made a model of Diversion Standard Multipurpose TOPSIS in the risk management decision, through quantitative multipurpose analysis of the factors which will affect the diversion standard,such as project investment,building period,risk lose and the diversion risk. Finally,the article test the model through some examples. thereby,the article have made beneficial exploration in the method of the risk management decision in large-scale hydropower project.