摘要
本文阐述了预测地震人员伤亡采用的外推法;介绍了9种国内已采用和已发表的预测地震人员伤亡的方法及一种日本的方法;讨论了影响预测地震人员伤亡的因素,预测精度、加修正系数改善预测结果和预测方法的选用等问题。
This paper depicts the extrapolation method adopted in calculating casualties caused by earthquakes, describes nine methods of calculating earthquake casualty adopted and published in China and one method adopted in Japan, and discusses the following problems, such as the factors that affect calculating the casualty caused by earthquakes, calculation precision, and improvement of calculation results with correction coefficients, as well as selection of predicting methods.
出处
《国际地震动态》
1993年第10期9-14,共6页
Recent Developments in World Seismology
关键词
地震
人员伤亡
灾害
预测
future earthquake
personnel cacualty
prediction
