山东省气温与最大负荷和用电量的关联性分析

RESEARCH ON CORRELATIVITY AMONG AIR TEMPERATURE, MAXIMUM LOAD AND POWER CONSUMPTION IN SHANDONG POWER GRID

以山东省近几年的负荷和用电量数据为基础,在利用统计方法和散点图分析了各种气象因素对电力负荷和用电量的影响后,得出了影响较大的因素为气温的结论。据此开发了用于分析气象因素与负荷和用电量的关联性的软件,该软件功能齐全,操作简单。文中得出的气温对负荷和用电量影响的特点及规律可以为供电部门和调度部门的工作人员提供有用的参考信息。

Based on the data of load and power consumption in Shandong power grid, the authors analyzed the influences of various meteorological factors on power load and power consumption by use of statistics method and scatter diagram, and drew the conclusion that the main influencing factor was air temperature. On this basis a kind of software to analyze the correlativity among meteorological factor, load and power consumption was developed. The obtained features and regular patterns on the influences of air temperature on load and power consumption could offer useful reference information for the personnel in power supply and dispatching departments.