Logistic模型的修正及其应用

The Modification of Logistic Model and Its Application

在描述区域城市化发展趋势时 ,Logistic模型的应用最为广泛 .针对一些学者对我国大陆 194 9年以来的城市化进程进行实证分析 ,得出大陆的城市化进程不符合Logistic模型的结论 ,根据城市化的意义 ,对Logistic模型进行修正 ,并运用修正的Logistic模型对我国城市化发展趋势进行统计分析 .研究的结果表明 。

The Logistic Model often finds its application in describing the regional developing trend of urbanization.When it comes to China's urbanization since1949,however,the model is inapplicable.Hence it's necessary to modify the model according to the real situation,and to analyze statistically the developing trend of urbanization in China.The reˉsearch findings of case study show that the modified Logistic Model basically illustrates the trend of urbanization in China.