网络环境下ARIMA模型对于绿色蔬菜市场价格的精确预报

Exact Forecast Price of Green Vegetable Marketby ARIMA Model in Network Environment

基于目前绿色蔬菜销售的特点 ,研究在网络环境下绿色蔬菜市场的价格预报问题。从研究单一蔬菜品种卷心菜开始 ,利用ARIMA理论和方法 ,从模型的识别、诊断、拟合与预测定量地研究其价格的问题。考虑到单一品种的片面性 ,提出利用 16种蔬菜加权平均价格作为研究对象的方法。

Based on the trait of green vegetable selling now, the problem is concerned with the study of the price forecasting of green vegetable in network environment. As the example of the single vegetable species cabbage, its price problem is studied quantificationally in the facts of identification, diagnose, mimic and forecasting by using ARIMA model. As a result, think over the unilateralism of single species, the method which is aim of the weighted average price of 16 vegetable species is put forward.