摘要
本文采用增水峰、谷时与高、低潮时的对应关系预报未来24小时之内的增水峰、谷时。采用增水峰增、减趋势外延和回归计算相结合的方法预报其峰值。然后,利用模拟的增水曲线,对港区内的台风增水及潮位进行预报,效果很好。
In this paper, the interrelationship between the time of the crests (troughs) of variations of sea level and the time of the high (low) water are used to forecast the future time of the crests(troughs ) of variations of sea level due to tropical cyclone.
Both regression method and the extrapolation of tendency of variations of the crests of sea level are used to forecast future crests.
Then, the simulant curves of the rise of sea level are used to forecast the rise of sea level and tide level in lianyungang harbour induced by the tropical cyclone.
The effect of prediction is good.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
1993年第1期69-76,共8页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
潮汐
台风
增水
预报
连云港区
The time of crest (trough)of variations of sea level,Extrapolation, Regression, Simulation, Tide level.
