似然区间估计在武器精度分析中的应用

Application of the Likelihood Interval Estimation in weapon Accuracy Analysis

本文着重介绍了Kalbfleisch的似然区间估计方法,并结合到武器精度分析中几个重要参数的评估问题,与常用的一些区间估计进行了讨论和比较,证明了某军标提供的最精确无偏区间也是一种似然区间。最后以某型号导弹为例,说明在相同的置信水平条件下,似然区间更直观,区间更短,更具有使用价值。

The Kalbfleisch's likelihood interval estmation method^([1]) is introduced emphatically in the article, and discussed and compared with other usual interval estimations combined with some importand parameters in weapon accuracy analysis. It is found that the most accurate unbised interval offered by same military standard belongs in the likelihood interval too. Finally, through an example based on some kind missile, the likelihood interval is shown to be more visual, shorter and more available.