德国政经形势观察

EXAMING GERMANY’S POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC SITUATION

目前,以政党格局为基础的德国政局呈现稳定之势.虽然有东西部发展不平衡、原油价格上涨加重本国经济负担等消极因素存在,各项经济指标仍持续看好.在外交上,德国的大国作用也在明显上升.

In more than 50 years since the ending of WWII, Germany's political situation can be called a relatively stable one. The author says that the basis which might cause changes in Germany's politics has been the party structure. Political situation can not have any unexpected sharp turn, provided the party structure is basically stable. The Christian Democratic Union failed to win the 1998 election. Now the Social Democratic Party is in power and Schroeder administration has already completely controlled the situation. The party and the federal government have once again become stable. The author says, Germany's economy is expected to grow by 28% in 2001 and this will be the best score since 1992. Unemployment rate has also come down. Year 2006 will see a balanced revenue and expenditure. Of course, the author warns, there are also many potential problems in Germany's economy. For example, the most critical one is the imbalance in development. Then, the economic burden caused by the high oil prices. Finally, the investors have lost their interest in investment because of Germany's high labor cost.