河南省城镇化水平的变化研究

A FORECAST RESEARCH ON THE URBANNIZATION LEVEL OF HENAN PROVINCE

本文分析了建国后河南省城镇化水平变化特点和影响因素,并运用趋势分析、相关分析和灰色系统分析等定量方法,预测了未来跨世纪的20年内河南省城镇化水平的变化趋势和城镇化进程的时空安排。

This Paper, oa a basic analysis of changing chracterristics and effecting factors of urbannization of Henan Province, uses the quanti-ative models to forecast the urbannization level of Henan Privince andgves the result that urbannization level will get to 19 Percent by 2000year and 30 percent by 2010 year.