摘要
研究证据理论在新产品开发方案可行性评估中的应用。证据理论是一种不确定性的推理方法,能较好地反映可行性评估中客观证据和专家意见对评估结果的影响。通过对宽带可视电话开发方案可行性评估过程的分析表明,证据理论为企业新产品开发方案的可行性评估提供了客观的、操作性好的的模型和方法。
Studying the feasibility evaluation of product development based on D-S theory(Dempster-Shafer theory), the Evidence theory (D-S theory) is a useful method for dealing with uncertainty problems. The evaluation of the development project based on D-S theory synthesizes the impersonal evidences and experts' opinion effectively. An application example of the method in developing the videophone over internet project is given. The results show the validity of the method.
出处
《运筹与管理》
CSCD
2004年第5期111-115,共5页
Operations Research and Management Science
关键词
系统分析
方案评估
证据理论
产品开发
system analysis
project evaluation
D-S theory
product development
