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新疆地震综合预报判据和指标的研究 被引量:4

THE RESEARCH OF CRITERION AND INDEX OF EARTH QUAKE COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION IN XINJIANG
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摘要 本文在地震综合预报清理攻关及有关震例研究的基础上,根据地震孕育的阶段性,分四个时段提取了新疆地震预报实践中常用方法、手段的单项异常预报判据和指标,定性和定量地研讨了综合预报方法。提出地震综合预报的集成预测概率方法。 In this paper, some relative examples and ways of 'earthquake comprehensive prediction have been checked by cleaning up the, data, and1 tackiing the key problems. The common methods for the criterion and index of single anomalousforecast in .Xinjiang pre'diction practice have been picked up in four periods,according to the stage of seismological generation. The methods of comprehensiveprediction are also discussed qualitatively and quantitatively so that the method of integrated predictive probability is put forward.
出处 《内陆地震》 1989年第3期203-213,共11页 Inland Earthquake
关键词 新疆 地震预报 指标 集成预测概率 Xinjiang, Earthquake predictive criterion, Earthquake predictive index, Integrated predictive probability.
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参考文献2

  • 1刘正荣.根据地震频度衰减预报地震的工作细则[J]地震,1984(01).
  • 2洪时中.关于地震预报评分问题的初步讨论——在一维情况下的实用评分法[J]地震研究,1981(03).

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