Compertz预测模型的建立与应用

<title>ild and application of Compertz prediction model.

对Compertz预测模型进行了推导,建立了累积产油量、年产油量、最高年产油量及发生时间的预测模型。实 际应用表明,油田最高年产油量及发生时间的预测结果与实际数值符合程度较高。该模型既可以应用于预测油田 可采储量,也可应用于油田中长期规划。

<abstract>mpertz prediction model is derived. The prediction models of cumulative oil production, annual oil production, maximum annual oil production and occurrence time are built. The actual application shows that the predictive result of the maximum annual oil production and occurrence time in the oilfield is close to the actual value. This model can be used not only in the oilfield recoverable reserves prediction, but also in medium-long term oilfield planning.