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马氏环境下带扰动的Cox相关的风险模型破产概率的上界估计 被引量:9

UPPER BOUND ESTIMATION ON THE RUIN PROBABILITY FOR A COX CORRELATED RISK MODEL DISTURBED BY DIFFUSION IN A MARKOVIAN ENVIRONMENT
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摘要 本文讨论马氏环境下带随机扰动的保单数量过程与索赔次数过程Cox相关的风险模型.利用鞅方 法,给出了该风险模型的破产概率的指数上界. This paper considers a risk model in which the sold policy number process and the claim number process are correlated by the incorporation of a common Cox process. In addition, the model is disturbed by diffusion in a Markovian environment. The authors investigate the ruin probability and obtain the exponential upper bound for the ruin probability by a general martingale approach.
作者 刘艳 胡亦钧
出处 《数学年刊(A辑)》 CSCD 北大核心 2004年第5期579-586,共8页 Chinese Annals of Mathematics
基金 国家自然科学基金(No.10071058 No.70273029) 教育部资助的项目.
关键词 COX过程 破产概率 LUNDBERG不等式 扩散过程 (马氏)跳过程 Cox process, Ruin probability, Lundberg inequality, Diffusion process, Markov jump process
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  • 1[1]Asmussen, S., Ruin Probabilities [M], World Scientific, Singapore, 2000.
  • 2[2]Csorgo, M. & Revesz, P., Strong Approximations in Probability and Statistics [M],Academic Press / Akademiai Kiao, Budapest, 1981.
  • 3[3]Grandell, J., Aspects of Risk Theory [M], Springer-Verlag, New York, 1991.
  • 4[4]Revuz, D. & Yor, M., Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion [M], Springer,Berlin, 1991.
  • 5[5]Wei, Li & Wu, Rong, Upper bounds estimation on the ruin probability with variable premium rate and disturbed by diffusion in a Markovian environment [R], Preprint,2002.
  • 6[6]Yang hailiang, Non-exponential bounds for ruin probability with interest effect included [J], Scand. Actuarial J., 1(1999), 66-79.

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