我国货运生成规律及实证分析

Research on the Rule and the Empirical Analysis of Freight Generation in China

改革开放以来,随着我国经济持续快速健康的发展,尽管货运联系在运量和运距两方面都有迅速的增长,但由于经济增长速度加快,货运生成密度和强度仍然呈现了下降的趋势。因此可以预测到,随着我国经济的继续发展,货运生成密度和货运强度将继续下降,但是下降的幅度会越来越小。

During reform and opening-up,our economy are still developing in fast and health. With the rapidly developing in both of freight quality and distance,it′s not enough to catch the economy increasing speed. The density of freight generation and the intensity of freight are still dropping down. As forecasting with the economy developing,they would be still dropping down, but the dropping scope are becoming the more small and the more small.