摘要
文章从需求方面研究农村城市化的模式。以对农村转移劳动力的调查资料为基础,对就地转移劳动力和异地转移劳动力的迁移趋向进行了统计分析,建立了关于农村劳动力迁移目标选择的多元离散选择模型。对农村转移劳动力的人口特征和城市化迁移选择行为二者之间的关系进行了分析,揭示出影响当前农村转移劳动力迁移行为与迁移决策的人口特征因素,得出了中国农村城市化的模式不能以小城镇为主等重要结论。
In this paper, the patterns of rural urbanization are studied from the view of demand. Firstly, based on the questionnaire, the migration tendency of the rural labor is analyzed statistically. Then the model for multiple discrete choices is applied to detect the relationship between the destination of rural-urban migration and the individual factor of the rural labor. Through the result of statistics and econometric model regression, we find out the factors that influence the migration decision and action of the rural labor. Another important conclusion is that towns should not be the main pattern of rural urbanization in China.
出处
《清华大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第5期70-77,共8页
Journal of Tsinghua University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
关键词
农村城市化模式
需求
离散选择模型
patterns of rural urbanization
demand
discrete choice model
