试析布什政府的亚洲政策及其走向

An Initial Analysis of Bush Administration's Asian Policy and Its Trends

布什政府面临大选,对其亚洲政策的基本思路、发展脉络、主要特点和未来走向进行分析和评估,似很有必要。因为亚洲在其战略棋盘上重要性不断凸显,更因为其中中国因素的份量正在加重,其亚洲政策与我密切相关。不论布什能否连任,这一阶段美国的亚洲政策必将对今后其亚洲政策的总体走向产生深远影响。其中,反恐、防扩散、遏制中国崛起、朝鲜核问题等是决定其亚洲政策演进的最主要因素。

As the American national election is ap- proaching,an analysis and evaluation of the basic thought,the line of development,the main char- acteristics and the future trends of Bush Administration's Asian policy appear necessary.It is because Asia has emerged as an important fac- tor on America's strategic chessboard,because China has been gaining weight in America's strategic considerations and also because America's Asian policy is relevant to China. Whether or not George.W.Bush is going to be reelected,the present America's Asian policy has profound influence on the general trend of its fu- ture Asian policy,whose development will be largely determined by such important factors as anti-terrorism,non-proliferation,containing China's rise and the North Korean issue.