摘要
应用数理统计方法,简明地给出了华东东部地区中强地震发震的概率背景,并在此基础上根据可公度性理论讨论了今后M≥5、M≥6级地震的危险性,估计该区在1993、1996年前后有可能发生5级以上地震,而且1996年前后发生的有可能是6级以上地震。
Using the method of statistics in the paper, the background probability of moderate - strong earthquake occurrence in the east part of East China is given briefly. And based on it, the future earthquake risk of M≥5. 0 or 6. 0 are discussed with the theory of commensurability. Result of the study shows the time of occurrence of M≥5. 0 may be in 1993 and 1996,and that of M≥6. 0 probably in 1996 in this area.
出处
《内陆地震》
1993年第3期279-285,共7页
Inland Earthquake
关键词
华东东部
中强地震
发震概率
地震
Moderate-strong earthquake Probability of occurrence Commensurability The east part of East China
