马斯京根法在郑家屯洪水预报方案中的应用

Application of Marshigan in the Flood Forecasting of Zhengjiatun

文中以郑家屯站历史洪水资料为例,通过流量相关法与马斯京根法两种洪水预报方法的分析对比,论证了马斯京根法在实时洪水预报中的适用性,它比流量相关法理论性更强,方法更科学,精度更高。

This paper demonstrates the applicability of Marshigan in flood forecasting ,through analysis comparison between flow correlation method and Marshigan ,taking Zhengjiatun hydrographical station as example. The result indicates that the former has stronger theory and its method is scientific ,and has higher precision.