摘要
引入模糊推理仿真建模方法 ,在传统定性分析的基础上 ,基于观测事实和预报经验 ,建立起了青岛海雾定量化的模糊推理映射模型 ,在此基础上对青岛海雾发生发展的影响因子和变化特征进行了诊断和预报探讨。仿真试验结果表明 ,模糊推理方法在定量性、客观性和自动化程度方面优于传统的天气分析预报方法 ,在分析、预报诸如海雾等地域性特征明显的天气中有较好的实用意义和应用前景。
The fuzzy inference modeling method is introduced to establish a quantitative fuzzy reasoning mapping model for Qingdao fog on the basis of traditional qualitative analysis, observations and forecast experience. Some important influential Factors on Qingdao results show that the fuzzy reasoning approach has the advantages of being quantitative, objective and automatic, and is thus superior to the traditional weather analysis and forcast, and is of value in the forecast of complicated weather such as sea fog.
出处
《海洋湖沼通报》
CSCD
2004年第4期17-25,共9页
Transactions of Oceanology and Limnology
基金
教育部骨干教师资助计划 (No .314 9)资助
