摘要
以新古典经济学为理论依据,在完全可替代生产函数的基础上构建了基于区域消费波动与经济增长的分析模型。利用长系列的区域经济产出(GDP)及其构成数据、劳动力投入数据等,计算、模拟了从1981—2000年我国省市区消费波动对区域经济增长的影响。模型结果显示:(1)区域资本、劳动力投入的增长对我国区域经济增长的作用是积极的,起到了推动作用;其中,以资本投入增长对区域经济的增长推进作用最大,其次是劳动力增长的作用。(2)区域消费的波动对区域经济增长产生不利影响,起阻碍作用。
With neo-classical economic theory as basis,an analysis model of regional consumption instability and regional economic growth is constructed based on complete substitutable production function.Using the data of regional GDPs and their components,labor inputs in 25 provinces of China,the effect of consumption instability on regional economic growth is calculated during the period 1981—2000.The estimation results of the analysis model show that (1)the growth rates of capital and labor input have positive effects on regional economic growth,the one of capital growth rate is the most evident,the one of labor growth rate in the second place;(2)the consumption instability has negative effects on regional economic growth in China during the period,and the negative effect is significant statistically.
出处
《烟台师范学院学报（自然科学版）》
2004年第4期303-307,共5页
Yantai Teachers University journal(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(40371051)
关键词
中国
区域投入
消费波动
区域增长
作用
China
regional inputs
consumption instability
regional growth
effect
