需求要素与我国经济增长关系的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between the Demand Factors and Economic Growth in China

目前,需求的增长已成为决定我国经济增长的关键因素,因此,研究需求的增长与经济增长的关系就显得十分必要。通过采用协整和误差修正模型的方法分析1979-2002年影响中国经济增长的需求要素,发现消费、投资、出口与中国经济增长存在长期均衡关系,而在短期内它们对中国经济增长的作用有所不同。

The increase of demand has becomed a key factor in the economic growth in China, so it is necessary to study the relationship between the increase of demand and the economic growth. This paper analyzes the demand factors influencing the economic growth in China using co-integration and ECM. The result of this paper reveals that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship among consume, investment, export and economic growth, but their actions on China's economic growth are some different in a short term.