综合运输体系下的客运流量分离模型及算法研究

Passenger Flow-split Model and Its Algorithm under the Condition of Integrated Transportation System

分析在多种运输方式存在情况下乘客的交通选择行为,并基于随机用户平衡理论和混沌理论构造了综合运输条件下的交通方式分离模型及求解算法。最后以北京到天津的客运市场为例,分析了各种社会因素变化时,不同交通方式的客流变化情况。

The passengers' choice behaviors are analyzed under the condition of multi-mode passenger transportation. A flow-split model and its algorithm for inter-city transportation are presented based on the SUE theory and Chaos theory. Finally the applications of the model and its algorithm are illustrated with a practical case. By the method of sensitivity analysis, the changes of passenger flows of different traffic modes between Beijing and Tianjin are obtained with the changes of the factors that influence the passengers' choice behaviors.