厄尔尼诺的发生与行星运动

OCCURRENCES OF EI Nino EVENTS AND MOTION OF PLANETS

厄尔尼诺(El Ni(?)o)现象是海-气耦合系统异常变化的表现,其起因可能不是唯一的,行星运动对地球运动的影响可能会导致El Ni(?)o的发生。根据4个半世纪内El Ni(?)o发生的历史资料,分析其发生和行星运动的关系,得出的结论是:木星赤纬的变化和火星大冲与El Ni(?)o。的发生有显著的关系,表明这2颗行星的运动可能影响El Ni(?)o的发生。文中还根据分析结桌和El Ni(?)o混沌机制的观点,探讨了行星运动对海-气系统变化的影响机制。

El Nino phenomenon is a manifestation of the abnormal mode of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system and may be caused by various mechanisms. It is suggested that influence exerted on the earth by the motion of other planets may induce El Nino events. The relations between El Nino events and planet motion are analysed with the available data on the El Nino occurrences in the past four and a half centuries and the theoretical calculation of planet motion. It is shown that significant correlations exist between the El Nino occurrences and the zero-declinations of Jupiter and the favorable oppositons of Mars. The mechanisms of planet motion affecting the ocean-atmosphere system of the earth inducing El Nino events are discussed in the context of chaos theory and the present results.