俄罗斯经济“追赶型”发展的战略目标和途径研究

The Catch up Development of the Russian Economy:A Study of Its Strategic Aim and Approach

俄罗斯总统普京提出经济追赶型发展的任务。学术界认为 ,俄罗斯的追赶型发展是要完成向后工业化经济转型的任务 ,具有与东亚国家的追赶型发展不同的特点。在实现途径方面主要争论的三个问题是 :国家与市场的作用 ;大型企业集团与中小企业的地位 ;原料部门与非原料部门的关系。不少学者预测到 2 1世纪中期俄罗斯可以完成建设后工业化经济体系 ;有的学者则持不同观点 ,认为后工业化是依赖个人创造力的自然过程 ,无法通过规划加速其进程。

Russian President Vladimir Putin set forth the task of catch up development for the Russian economy.But economists think that the catch up development of the Russian economy should be aimed at postindustrialization rather than industrialization. Thus,Russian development is different from the catch up development strategy adopted by some East Asian countries. There are three sources of contention regarding Russia's economic catch up development, namely, the roles of government and market, the comparative advantages of large and small enterprises, the relationship between departments of raw materials and departments of non raw materials. Some economists expect that Russia's postindustrial economic system will take shape by the middle of the twentieth first century, whereas others hold that postindustrialization is a natural process based on the exertion of human creativity, whose development process cannot be sped up by any artificial planning.