世界现代化进程的反思

Reflection on the Process of World Modernization

世界现代化进程迄今已经历三次大推进的浪潮,先后有三批国家被卷入其中。其中,只有第一批国家的现代化属于地道的内源型现代化,它是西欧社会独特历史条件下的产物。第二批国家实现现代化的条件与第一批国家已有很大的差别,它们一开始就处于一种内外交困的状态。对于第三批国家来说,现代化与社会稳定的关系问题已变得空前地棘手,因为它们的现代化不可避免地要受制于一系列“迟发效应”。面对这样一些“迟发效应”,任何一个国家要想实现在第三次现代化浪潮中的起飞,都必须在全力推进现代化的同时牢固地保持社会各方面的协调和稳定。

There have been three big waves for the process of world modernization and three groups of nations are involved. Among them, only the modernization of the first group belongs to true endogenous one, which is the product under the specific historical conditions of Western Europe. Different greatly from the first one in the conditions, the second group face difficulties from both home and abroad from the beginning. For the third group, it's quite difficult to tackle the relationship between modernization and social stability because their modernization is inevitably restricted by a series of “delayed effects”. Therefore, in order to realize its rise in the third wave of modernization, any nation should maintain firmly the harmony and stability of various social aspects while pushing on its modernization.