油田最优产量规模的研究与应用

Oilfield optimal production scale study and application

应用最优化及经济学理论,对油田最优产量规模进行了研究探讨,给出了最优产量规模确定模型及结果分析模型,并对某油区现开采状况下最优产量规模的变化趋势进行了拟合、预测及分析。指出在较高油价下,合理速度是最优化产量规模最为敏感因素;而在较低油价时除合理采油速度外油价也成为敏感因素。油田利润无论在任何情况下对油价、剩余可采储量速度及单位自然油操作成本都最为敏感。

By using theories of optimization and economics, oil field optimal production scale, an optimal production scale identification model and result analysis model are studied and discussed in this paper. Change trend of the optimal production scale of a certain oil field under current recovery conditions has been simulated, pre-dieted and analyzed. The paper indicates that production rate is the most sensitive factor in optimal production scale when oil price is high; When oil price is low, the oil price also is one of the sensitive factors besides reasonable production rate. Under either condition, the oil field' s profit is most sensitive to oil price.