关于经济波动周期性及成因的实证研究

Positive Research on the periodicity and reasons of Economic Fluctuations

经济波动是经济发展过程中的常见现象。本文首先用两种方法分析了改革开放以来我国经济的波动状态,接着用数理统计方法对其周期性进行了检验,在此基础上作者又从两个角度分析了改革以来我国经济周期波动的形成原因。

Economic fluctuation is the common phenomenon In the course of economic development. At first, authors analyze the state of economic fluctuation in our country since the reform and opening up to the outside world with two methods. Then authors examine its periodicity by statistical method. On the basis of this, authors analyze the reasons of economic fluctuation form two respects.