我国城镇居民边际消费倾向的变化

Study of the changes in the marginal consumption propensity of Chinese town residents

用变参数模型分析了我国城镇居民1981～2003年的可支配收入与消费性支出,得出了边际消费倾向随时间的变动趋势,这种变动趋势既体现了我国宏观经济政策的有效性,也显示出了存在的问题.

The relationship between income and consumption behaviour of Chinese town residents has been studied by the variable parameter model based on the data of their disposable income and (consumption) expenditure in the years of 1981~2003. The tendency of the marginal consumption (propensity) changing with time was obtained. This not only embodies the effectiveness of the (macroeconomy) policy executed by the Chinese government, but also reveals some underlying (problems).