摘要
本文应用趋势季节模型对某市成蚊季节消长进行预测并获得了满意的效果。作者认为该数学模型用于成蚊季节消长的预测,是有较高的合理性、可靠性和实用价值,应进一步推广应用。
It is satisfactory to forecast the density of mosquito in 2000 with the method of Trend-Season Model. The mothod is applicable to forecaste the density of mosquito in seasonal fuctuation.
出处
《医学动物防制》
2000年第9期466-468,共3页
Journal of Medical Pest Control
关键词
趋势季节模型
成蚊
季节性
流行病
Density of mosuqito Seasonal fuctuation Trend-season model Forecast
