山东省对外贸易的经济计量分析

An Economic Measuring Analysis on the Foreign Trade in Shandong Province

本文运用现代经济计量技术对山东省对外贸易的现状进行研究,说明开展对外贸易对山东经济各层面的促进作用,并对“十五”期间对外贸易规模进行预测,旨在为发展山东对外贸易提供科学的决策依据。

This paper is to apply the technology of the modern econometrics t o research the present situation of foreign trade in Shandong Province,and illus trate the positive function of foreign trade to every factor of Shandong's econo my.At last,it will predict the trend of the scale of foreign trade in the tenth Five-year in order to provide the scientific strategic base for developing the S handong's foreign trade.