关于ENSO及其统计预测方法评估

Review on ENSO and its statistical prediction methods

结合近年来“九五”国家重中之重项目有关ENSO业务预报系统研究工作的体会和见解 ,简要综述了近年来ENSO的预报问题 ,尤其是ENSO统计预测方法的研究成果 ,并对各种预报方法的效果进行评价。

Researches on the ENSO are concisely reviewed in this paper which centrum is the statistical forecasting to ENSO. Author's research work for ENSO prediction methods are particularly introducted and the efficiencies of different methods to ENSO are evaluated.