期刊文献+

重分式Poisson过程——一个新的股票价格运动模型 被引量:1

Multifractional Poisson Process——A New Model of Stock Price Movements
下载PDF
导出
摘要 给出重分式Poisson过程WHt (t)的定义及基本性质,发现 WHt (t)具有重分形特征及长期依赖性、尖峰、胖尾等特征,从而可以用WHt (t)拟合股票收益的变化.在不同标度下,某些股票的绝对收益率具有长期依赖性及重分形特性.这表明中国证卷市场具有非线性特征,市场并非是完全有效的. We give the definition of multifractional Poisson process W_(_t)(t) and its basic properties.We found that W_(H_t)(t) has the properties of long-range dependence,high peak,fat tail,and so on.So we can simulate the changes of returns of stocks by W_(H_t)(t).We also found that in different terms,some absolute returns have the properties of long-range dependence and multifractal.These show that the market is not linear in China,and the market is not always efficient.
出处 《武汉大学学报(理学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第1期15-19,共5页 Journal of Wuhan University:Natural Science Edition
基金 国家重点基础研究计划特别基金资助项目
关键词 长期依赖性 分形 R/S分析 POISSON过程 long-range dependence fractal R/S analysis Poisson process
  • 相关文献

参考文献10

  • 1魏宇,黄登仕.经济物理学研究评述[J].经济学动态,2002(7):74-78. 被引量:15
  • 2樊智,张世英.金融波动持续性的研究[J].预测,2003,22(1):33-37. 被引量:8
  • 3林勇,郭林军.有效市场假设与分形市场假设[J].预测,2002,21(2):34-38. 被引量:6
  • 4Mandelbrot B B. Fractals and Scalling in Finance:Discontinuity, Concentration, Risk [ M ]. New York:Springer Verlag, 1977.
  • 5Peters E E. Fractal Market Analysis[M]. New York:John Wiley Sons,Inc, 1994.
  • 6Mantegna R, Stanley E. Scaling Behavior in the Daynamics of an Economic Index[J]. Nature, 1995,376:46-48.
  • 7Bonanno G, Lillo F, Mantegna R. Levels of Complexity in Financial Markets[J]. Physicas A, 2001,299 : 16-27.
  • 8Ash R B,Gardner M F. Topics in Stochastic[M]. New York : Academic Press, 1975.
  • 9Fikhtengolts G M. The Fundamentals of Mathematical Analysis ,Vol Ⅱ [M]. Oxford:Pergamon Press, 1965.
  • 10Papoulis A. Probability, Random Variables and Stochastic Process [M]. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1965.

二级参考文献46

  • 1LI Han-dong, ZHANG Shi-ying School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China.Common Persistence and Error-Correction Mode in Conditional Variance[J].Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,2001,13(3):257-264. 被引量:15
  • 2俞乔.市场有效、周期异常与股价波动——对上海、深圳股票市场的实证分析[J].经济研究,1994,29(9):43-50. 被引量:297
  • 3Bollerslev T, et al.. A capital-asset pricing model with time-varying coefficients[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1988,96:116-131.
  • 4Bollerslev T, Engel R F. Common persistence in conditional variances[J]. Econometrica, 1993, 61 ( 1 ): 167-186.
  • 5Fama E F. Efficient capital market: a review of theory and empirical work[J]. Journal of Finace, 1970,25(2):383-417.
  • 6Mandelbrot B B, et al.. Fractional brownian motions,fractional noises and applications [ J ]. SIAM Review,1968,10(4) :422-437.
  • 7Granger C W J, Joyeux R. An introduction to long memory time series models and fractional differencing[J]. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1980, (1): 15-39.
  • 8Brockwell P J, Davis R A. Time series: theory and methods[M]. Springer-Verlag, 1991.
  • 9Peters E E. Chaos and order in the capital markets[M].Wiley, New York, 1991.
  • 10Geweke J, Porter-Hudak S. The estimation and application of long memory time series models [ J ]. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1983,4: 221-237.

共引文献24

同被引文献16

  • 1翟爱梅,王雪峰,冯英浚.股票价格的塑性理论模型[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2005,37(9):1277-1279. 被引量:8
  • 2Cootner,P.,1964, "The Random Character of Stock Market Prices" [ M ].Cambridge, Mass : MIT Press.
  • 3Fama,and Eugene F., "The Behavior of Stock Market Prices" [J].The Journal of Business (Chicago,Ill.), 1965,38( 1 ) : 34-105.
  • 4Black F.,and M.Scholes, "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities" [J l.Journal of Political Economy, 1973,81 (3) :637-659.
  • 5Richardson M.,and T. Smith,"A Test for Multivariate Normality in Stock Returns" [J].Journal of Business (Chicago, Ilk ), 1993,66(2 ) : 295-321.
  • 6Trabelsi,A.,and Oueslati,A., "The Dynamics of Stock Price Adjustments to New Information: Empirical Evi- dence from the Tunisian Stock Exchange Market"[J]. Finance, 2004, 18(2) : 23-52.
  • 7Vagnani,G., "The Black-Scholes Model As A Deter- minant of the Implied Volatility Smile: A Simulation Study,"[J].Journal of Economic Behavior & Organiza- tion, 2009,72( 1 ) : 103-I 18.
  • 8Rubinstein M.,"Non-parametric Teats of Alternative Option Pricing Models Using All Reported Trades and Quotes on the 30 Most Active CBOE Option Classes from August 23, 1976, through August 31,1978"[J].Joumal of Finance, 1985,40(2) :455-480.
  • 9Rubinstein M., "hnplied Binomial Trees," [J].Joumal of Finance, 1994,49(3 ) : 771-818.
  • 10Jackwerth J.C.,and M.Rubinstein,"Reeovering Proba- bility Distributions from Option Prices,"[J].Journal of Finance, 1996,51(5) : 1611-1631.

引证文献1

二级引证文献1

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部