对“利用回归预测技术进行港口吞吐量预测的方法研究”一文的商榷

A Discussion About the paper Port Handling Capacity Forecasting Method by Regression Forecasting Technology

对《水运工程》2004年第四期的“利用回归预测技术进行港口吞吐量预测的方法研究”一文中的回归预测模型提出了不同意见,建立了新的模型,使模型能更全面充分地说明问题,并使得到的结果更为精确,更有说服力,从而为港口的发展战略研究提供更好的技术支持。

Different views are presented on the regression forecasting model introduced in the paper Port Handling Capacity Forecasting Method by Regression Forecasting Technology published in Port & Waterway Engineering(No.4 2004),and a new model, which is more convincing and the result from which is more accurate, is built up, so as to provide better technical support for strategic research on port development.