性别偏好与中国妇女生育行为

Sex Preference and Fertility Behaviors of Chinese Women

利用 1 997年中国人口与生殖健康调查数据 ,就性别偏好对妇女生育行为的影响进行了深入分析。结果表明 ,性别偏好对中国妇女在家庭组建、避孕使用、流产选择、生育间隔等方面具有重大影响 ,并用各种回归模型进行了检验。此外还对性别偏好对生育率的定量影响进行了估计。

Using 1997 China Demographic and Reproductive Health Survey Data, this paper examines a range of impacts of sex preference on women's fertility behaviors relating to family building, contraceptive use, induced abortion, and birth timing. MCA, Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models have been employed in exploring these associations and testing their statistical significance. The most important finding is that women having only daughters are significantly much more likely to continue childbearing and less likely to have induced abortions. Son preference has been widely and strongly influencing women's childbearing, and China's already below-replacement fertility could be further reduced by roughly 10% in the absence of son preference.