系统状态概率矩阵在企业集群中的应用

Application of system situationtransition probability matrix in enterprise cluster

阐述了马尔可夫决策理论中的最基本分析方法———系统状态转移概率矩阵决策法,针对企业集群的特点,运用系统状态转移概率矩阵决策法对企业集群市场的状态进行了分析,并对各种状态的未来分布趋势和分布状况进行预测,分别计算出各种类型企业的未来市场资源份额,给政府进行市场的调节提供了理论上的依据和方法上的指导。

This essay introduces the basic analysis method of Markovian decision method-the decision of system situation transition probability matrix.In view of the characteristics of enterprise cluster,this essay analyses the situation of enterprise cluster by means of transition probability matrix,and forecasts all kinds of distribution tendency and distribution situation in the future,calculats the resource share of future market of all kinds of enterprises separately and offers theory foundation and direction on the method for government's adjusting market.