交通量预测的灰色verhulst自记忆模型

Self-memory Grey Verhulst Model of the Traffic Prediction

导出了灰色verhulst模型的自记忆计算格式 ,建立了一个新的对交通量历史观测数据具有记忆功能的灰色自记忆模式 ;该模式克服了历史观测数据的波动对灰色verhulst模型的影响 ,可有效反映交通量随时间的发展规律。

The self-memory numerical method for grey verhulst mode l is derived and a new grey verhulst model is made.The model can recollect the las t data of the traffic and get over grey verhulst model's shortages.The numerical examples show that the model can reflect the relation between the traffic and t ime effectively.