摘要
资源风险分析是油气资源评价中不可缺少的重要组成部分。我国油气资源评价往往注重资源量的定量测算 ,而资源风险分析却相对薄弱 ,有的甚至被忽略。本文系统地介绍了地质风险概率法、模糊集合综合评判法和最小经济储量规模法的基本原理及相关数学模型 ,并结合实例分析 ,对油气资源的地质风险和经济风险进行研究 ,以优选勘探目标 ,提高勘探成功率。
Risk analysis of resources is indispensable and important component of oil-gas resources evaluation. More attention is always paid for quantitative calculation of resources for oil-gas resources evaluation in China, but less study for resources risk analysis; sometimes it is totally neglected indeed. The basic principle and its relevant mathematics models of geological risk probability method, fuzzy set comprehensive assessment method and minimum economic reserves size are introduced systematically in this paper, combined with example analysis, and study of geological risk and economic risk for oil-gas resources evaluation has been carried out, so as to optimize exploration targets and to enhance exploration success rate.
出处
《长江大学学报（社会科学版）》
2004年第1期108-111,共4页
Journal of Yangtze University（Social Sciences Edition）
基金
中石化新星石油公司所辖探区油气资源评价项目 (编号 :P0 10 76 )资助
关键词
油气资源
地质风险
经济风险
概率法
模糊集合
经济储量
oil and gas resources
geological risk
economic risk
probability method
fuzzy set
minimum economic reserves size
