以产量递减和成本递增为基础的石油储量价值评估模型

Evaluation model of petroleum reserve worth based on production decline & cost increase by degrees.

论述了矿业资产的概念和特点,探讨了国外流行的贴现现金流理论模型的数学拓展,引入成本递增假设,使价值评估模型能大规模地应用于储量单元的价值评估;拓展模型创立了组合指数贴现系数和成本递增贴现系数,并对拓展结果所涉及的开发参数进行了敏感性分析,对贴现现金流模型的应用及其结果的合理性进行了分析。

Concept and characteristics of mining assets were discussed , mathematic developing of theoretical model on foreign prevalent discount-cash flow was emphasized, and hypothesis of cost increase by degrees was inducted, which makes worth evaluation model apply in worth evaluation of the reserve units in a large scale. Developing model founded discount coefficient of combination index and discount coefficient of cost increase by degrees, the sensitivity of the exploitation parameter about developing result was analyzed. Application of discount-cash flow model and rationality of the application result were explained and analyzed.