张掖市降雹特征及短期预报

Features and Short-Term Forecast of Hail in Zhangye City

通过分析张掖市冰雹发生发展的规律及冰雹天气的特征,归纳出张掖市降雹的天气形势,并据此进行分型,建立了张掖市5～9月份冰雹短期预报方程,在实际预报中进行应用,预报准确率达63%,试报效果较好。

Through analying the development rule and feature of hail in Zhangye city, the causes for the weather and circulation patterns of hail in Zhangye city from May to September are summed up. Short-range forecast equation of hail is established, which has been used in practical forecast, and its accuracy is 63%. The forecasting result is encouragement.