潜射导弹运载器分离体砸艇概率仿真建模

Modeling and Simulation of the Probability of Submarine-Launched Missile Carrier Smashing the Submarine

潜射导弹运载器分离体在下沉过程中可能发生的砸艇问题是潜射导弹发射中的关键技术之一 ,而在目前条件下 ,由于水下测试困难及安全性方面的考虑 ,难以开展试验研究。在建立分离体下沉弹道模型及仿真的基础上 ,基于数理统计中的蒙特卡罗方法 ,建立了分离体砸艇概率仿真计算模型 ,并给出了分离体砸艇概率仿真算例 ,可以方便快捷地获得不同工况条件下的砸艇概率及主要影响因素 。

During the launching of the submarine launched missile, the missile's carrier may smash the submarine during its sinking. How to determine the smashing probability is a key technique. We first established a simulation model of the carrier's sinkage trajectory. Then, based on the Monte-Carlo method, we established the mathematical model of the probability of the carrier's smashing the submarine. Simulations are carried out for different sinkage trajectories, and the results are given.