东亚大国关系格局演变及内在规律探析

An Exploration into the Changes of Relationship Pattern and Their Inner Causes in Big Eastern Asia Countries

东亚地区中日美俄之间的四国六边(中日、中美、中俄、日美、日俄、俄美)关系,不是由任何人的主观意志所决定的,而是由客观上存在的共同利益与国内外矛盾等社会存在所决定、所制约的。与此同时,各国决策者的主观能动性———形势判断与决策,也会反作用于各国之间的关系,或扩大共同利益并缓解、化解国际矛盾,或扩大彼此分歧并增添、加剧国际矛盾。任何一组双边关系都会对多边格局产生影响,而多边格局也会反作用于中日双边关系。要营造对中国有利又不损害其他国家利益的崭新国际格局,就需要高超的外交艺术。

The relationships among the four countries and six sides in Eastern Asia—— Sino-Japan, Sino-America, Sino-Russia, Japan-America, Japan-Russia, and Russia-America——are not determined by any individual but by common interests and internal and external contradictions involved. Meanwhile the judgement of situation and policy-making of any country also affect the relationships among all the countries. To construct a new international pattern that is good to China and not harmful to other countries requires superb diplomatic skills.