2004年投资形势分析与2005年展望

Investment analysis of 2004 and prospect of 2005

2004年,通过一系列调控手段的实施,全年GDP的增速还是达到了9.5%,又恰逢“十五”计划最后一年,许多工程机械制造商对2005年的形势一头雾水,因此企业的预算很难制定,尤其在这市场低迷时期,一旦决策失误会给企业生存带来很多不利的影响。受一些企业的委托,本刊特邀请国家发改委投资研究所投资形势分析课题组罗松山对2004年中国经济投资状况作了分析并对2005年投资形势作了展望性分析,本文愿为政府决策作参考之用。

Though more and more active factors have acted on the stable growth of economy, it is difficult toeliminate thoroughly unreasonable factors in the structure of economy and investment,which accumulatedlong before.Because of the macro control policy,the growth of investment is slow. How to coordinate the invested relationship of primary,secondary and tertiary industries,how tocontrol the overall invested scope,at the same time,maintain a stable and relatively-fast growth trend,and how to improve the structure of investment.These tasks must be faced in 2005. Some important opinions in investment and economy prospect of 2005 in China are brought forward accordingto analysis on the investment situation of 2004.