后阿拉法特时代的以巴关系——对中东和平进程三大关键因素的分析

Israeli-Palestinian Relationship in Post-Arafat Era——An analysis of the three key factors in the Middle East peace process

阿拉法特辞世后,阿巴斯当选巴民族权力机构主席,完成了巴勒斯坦民族解放事业领导人的代际更替,沙龙组成新的联合政府,布什完成连选连任,巴、以、美三方的变化为推动中东和平进程的实现带来了历史性机遇,以巴恢复和谈势在必行。但由于三方特别是以巴双方各自面临重重困难,因此,在形式上恢复和谈容易,就实质性问题达成协议难。

The article analyses the changes undergone by the three key factors, namely Palestine, Israel and US, before and after the demise of Yasser Arafat. It points out that with Mahmoud Abbas's election as the President of the Palestinian Authority, which means the subrogation of the leadership of the Palestinian national liberation had been accomplished, Ariel Sharon's forming a new coalition government, and George W. Bush's successful re-election, the Middle East peace process are facing historic opportunities, and it's inevitable to revive the Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. Nevertheless, the three key factors, particularly Israel and Palestine, are also faced various difficulties, so it's easy to revive the negotiations, but hard to reach agreements on substantial issues.